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Re: プーチン氏「北朝鮮問題は圧力だけで解決できず」、韓ロ首脳会談で

北朝鮮が核ミサイルを手放すとき、それは金正恩が北朝鮮を棄てるときであり、自分の命を捨てるときだ。だからその手はまずありえない。
 
開発途中とはいえ核ミサイルを持っている北朝鮮は、今のところアメリカが手出し「できない」(「できない」というよりは攻撃に値する北朝鮮の先制攻撃への報復という大義名分がない)という意味で、緊張度の高いパワーバランスが出来上がっている。 しかしこれは外交に於いてであり、北朝鮮国内はいつ崩壊してもおかしくない状態にある。 この状態を金正恩がすでに予測していて、経済制裁に備えた備蓄があるにしても、そう長くは続けられるものではない。対話になるとすれば北朝鮮国内が完全に疲弊しきる前の段階になるだろう。
  
  
  
(REUTERS) プーチン氏「北朝鮮問題は圧力だけで解決できず」、韓ロ首脳会談で
http://jp.reuters.com/article/northkorea-missiles-putin-idJPKCN1BH0X4

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